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The Four Lines Trading
System represents a new approach to learning the properties of financial
markets and to construction of personal trading systems. I would
name it "empirical approach" because in some sense it
lies somewhere between discretionary (emotional) trading and purely
mechanical systems.
Both of those approaches
are inappropriate in real life. Discretionary trading favors to
flexibility of trading decisions caused by perception of changes
in market sentiment, thus giving many unique successful results,
but the profit of such trading is never stable. Uncertainty of trader's
behavior multiplied by unpredictable nature of market's movements
inevitably results in ruin. From the other hand, trading according
to computer system allows to eliminate emotional factor and to optimize
trading decisions for particular market, but real statistics of
financial markets allows mechanical trading to be profitable only
"on a long run" and over a large number of markets in
average. However, every trader dreams of trading system which is
profitable "here and now".
The Four Lines System
is precise system, in the sense that it consists of a compact set
of exactly formulated trading rules. At the same time it is not
purely mechanical, as long as it's based on principal concepts of
technical analysis which require certain intuition, understanding
of psychology of market movements and experience in working with
charts. Due to its enough formal nature the System's efficiency
(both profitability and possible risk) on particular market may
be estimated by historical test and the results of such testing
may be directly used to plan the real trading. Simultaneously the
process of building the back-test itself is the best way for trader
to learn particular market, to understand its behavior. The precise
character of System's rules allows trader to control his own trading
style and emotional condition during real trading.
The Four Lines System
contains no artificial constructions and does not need computer
optimization. It includes only one mathematical indicator: well
known and most popular among traders of all markets Relative Strength
Index. It is very simple trading system available even for novice
trader and it becomes a serious instrument in the hands of advanced
trader.
All constructions of the
Four Lines Trading System have universal character; it is purely
technical trading system which can be adapted for trading almost
any market. However, the main advantage of the System is that it
can show stable efficiency in intra day trading on the FOREX market
where all common approaches fail.
Brief exposition of ides
of the Four Lines Trading System was published in two articles in
Technical Analysis of STOCKS&COMMODITIES www.traders.com
(Likhovidov V. [2001]. "The Folding Rule", Volume 19:
June; [2002]. "The Four Lines Trading System", Volume
20: January).
The aim of the proposed
course of individual learning and training is to explain the Four
Lines System, to give the rules for construction of objective back-test
and statistical analysis of test data. During this learning I will
send you several clearly formulated tasks, each of them explaining
the System's rules or certain step in building and analyzing back-test
of the System. After fulfilling all tasks you'll come to know the
rules of opening and closing of positions within frames of the System.
You'll also learn appropriate money management rules and several
possible ways of enhancing performance of the System. Statistical
results derived from analysis of test data will give you the complete
and precise background for planning of your real trading. I'm also
ready to answer all your questions concerning technical analysis
and trading systems.
Here is a brief content
of textbook, which also gives some presentation of my course and
individual training.
The Four Lines Trading System
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Introduction. About the Four Lines Trading System |
| 1. |
Relative strength index and its properties |
| 2. |
Main trading idea of the Four Lines System |
| 3. |
How to plot the Four Lines |
| 4. |
The principle of confirmation; classification
of signals |
| 5. |
The fan and the folding rule |
| 6. |
Exotic opening rules |
| 7. |
Illustrations of trading with the Four Lines System:
FOREX and other markets |
| 8. |
Practical recommendations and an example of testing
and trading with the Four Lines |
| 9. |
Statistical results of testing the Four Lines
System on the currency market |
| 10. |
Enhancing the System's efficiency |
My course
for currency traders consists of the following:
The student receives
my textbook on the Four Lines Trading System (by e-mail);
I send special
tasks and the student fulfill those tasks one-by-one;
I check the results,
correct if necessary and give recommendations.
Of course, during this
process the student may also send me any questions
concerning the System, the Forex market, ñurrency trading etc, and
I try to answer them as soon as possible. As the result of the course
the student obtains:
training in application
of the System's trading rules;
the rules of constructing
back-test of the System;
technique of statistical
analysis of the obtained test data;
technique (based
on statistical test data) of constructing his plan for real intra-day
trading;
methods of adjusting
the System for improving of its performance.
If you want to attempt
FOREX trading, I'm sure it is difficult to find the better approach
then the Four Lines. I'm also sure the Four Lines can be adjusted
for efficient intra-day trading on other markets.
Write me if you are interested
in this training:
V.Likhovidov@forexschool.ru
lita@math.dvgu.ru
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